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Clear Democrat Winner: Mathematically Impossible? By Rizzuto Fri Feb 08, 2008 - The Washington Post makes a strong case that a clear winner in the Democratic primary is all but impossible at this point. This is not good news for Howard Dean and his party, as it all but guarantees a conflict over delegates that could drag out for months. Democrats are reaping what they've sewn. This from The Washington Post: Here's the math. There are 3,253 pledged delegates, those doled out based on actual voting in primaries and caucuses. And you need 2,025 to win the nomination. To date, about 52 percent of those 3,253 delegates have been pledged in the voting process -- with Clinton and Obama roughly splitting them at 832 and 821 delegates a piece, according to the AP. That means there are now only about 1,600 delegates left up for grabs in the remaining states and territories voting. So, do the math. If they both have 820 plus pledged delegates so far, they'll need to win roughly 1,200 -- 75 percent -- of the remaining 1,600 delegates to win the nomination through actual voting. In other words: Ain't gonna happen... Good news for McCain, as it will certainly give him a jump on the national campaign.
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